Many, including me, were disappointed at Senator Obama's statement opposing the Supreme Court's ruling that child rapists could not be sentenced to death. I see it as a tactical move to appeal to the large numbers of Americans who support the death penalty. Now, I'm not freaking out and screaming CONCERN at the top of my lungs, but as a careful adoption of a not-so-progressive position on an issue many progressives care about, it is duly noted.
My real question is this: how do you think Sen. Obama will react to the likely outcome of D.C. v. Heller? This case, set to come down any day now, will likely reveal the Court's never-yet expressed doctrine on the Second Amendment, and will set the rules for all gun-control efforts in the future. Per SCOTUSblog, Heller is the only case left from its original batch, and Justice Scalia is the only justice without a majority opinion from that batch. Not a good sign for those of us who don't favor radical reinterpretations of two hundred years of Constitutional law based on what was good policy for the matchlock muskets and devolved federal structure of 1784.
Obama's position on the Second Amendment:
Repect the Second Amendment. . . . as a former constitutional law professor, Barack Obama believes the Second Amendment creates an individual right, and he greatly respects the constitutional rights of Americans to bear arms. He will protect the rights of hunters and other law-abiding Americans to purchase, own, transport, and use guns for the purposes of hunting and target shooting. He also believes that the right is subject to reasonable and commonsense regulation.
Source: http://www.barackobama.com/issues/additi onal/#sportsmen (click "read the full plan.")
There's a fair amount of wiggle room in that policy position. If the Court announces an individual right to bear arms, which seems likely, Obama will probably have to support it publicly. The question will be the kind of "reasonable and commonsense regulation" the Court will allow--if it allows any at all. I personally expect a somewhat broad consensus that the Second Amendment does, in fact, provide an individual right, and then a confusing mess of concurrences and dissents about exactly what kind of regulation of that right is permissible.
So, how will/should Obama play this? Gun control, like the death penalty, is one of those issues that the great swath of Americans known as "the middle" seem to agree on: they're for it, but not too much. My prediction is that, whatever the specifics of the holding, Obama will play to the mountain west in his response. Which I'm okay with. I guess.
I just hope that if Scalia goes completely off the deep end and declares an untouchable, sacred right to the automatic assault rifle, Obama will speak out strongly in favor of the need for gun control.
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